RETIREMENT SPENDING MODEL

Click here to go to our Retirement Spending Model.

The Eads & Heald Investment Counsel Retirement Spending Model is free for you to use with no obligations whatsoever.  Over time, we may make modifications in order to further refine it and exterminate any bugs.

Our model is geared toward those who are retired or within three years of retirement.  It can assist you in gaining a perspective about how much you can spend each year and still have your money last for a very long time.  We recommend running the model in a very conservative manner.  That is, overstate inflation and the tax rate while you understate investment rates of return and income sources.  All retirement plans need a margin of safety in case things do not turn out well.  If you base your future on 1% inflation and 20% investment returns you will likely be very disappointed.  At the other extreme, 4-5% inflation and a 5% return is certainly much more prudent.  Likely, the ultimate truth will fall somewhere between these.

We want to start with a few words of caution, however.  The current model is not robust enough to cover in detail every possible nuance of a person’s financial life.  If your situation is very exotic and/or complex, the model could possibly be of little use.  Also, there is an old computer saying: GIGO.  That is “garbage in, garbage out.”  Any somewhat rigid computer forecasting model is an imperfect tool to gauge the future.  Couple that with wild guesses (sometimes known as WAG’s) about key future variables and you must be skeptical about the end product of any model.  By virtue of using this model you must understand these caveats and agree to them.

Still, having stated the above, a model can be a powerful tool to gauge the sensitivity of your ultimate financial solvency as related to such variables as inflation, tax rates, investment rates of return, various income sources, etc.  With a few keystrokes you can change the input rate of inflation, rate of return on investments and other key inputs.  This allows you to gauge to what degree your ultimate financial well-being is affected by changing various inputs.

The model is largely self-explanatory.  We want to avoid mind-numbing pages of instructions.  Jump in and try it out.  However, we do suggest that you “carefully” read all words for the model input boxes and the model's “Notes” which you can link to from within the model itself. You can also click on each column heading within the model for a definition of the column.

We should note a few of the model’s imperfections, if you care to know:

• The model does not impose any penalties for any early withdrawals of tax-sheltered funds.

• The model does not withdraw any tax-sheltered money until all other funds are exhausted except for the mandatory withdrawals starting at age 70 ½.  Tax-sheltered funds are left to earn a return free of taxes for as long as possible. 

• The model assumes that the two spouses are within 10 years from each other in age.  This, then, dictates one mandatory minimum withdrawal schedule of tax-sheltered funds at age 70½.  If the two are more than 10 years apart, a different schedule would be indicated for one of the spouses.

• The model applies the tax rate you enter to everything.  Of course, this is not accurate for any Roth IRA withdrawals or capital gains realized.  As a  rough fix, you can attempt to estimate an appropriate overall tax rate taking these imperfections into account.

As we said at the outset, the model is designed for those who are retired or about to retire.  We are not on a crusade to change the lives of adults in regard to saving money, smoking, losing weight or anything else.  We are on a crusade to help mature adults live their retirement years with a better understanding of spending, inflation, investment rates of return and like items so they can enjoy those years with financial confidence.

If all of this interests you, but you lie somewhere between being “slightly confused” and “having no idea in the world what we are talking about”, give us a call at 770-988-9556 and ask for help.

We wish you well.